Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.061101 0.071097 0.082050 0.094918 0.109600 0.125806 0.145023
2025-02-09 0.043317 0.055806 0.070764 0.089909 0.113664 0.142066 0.178479
2025-02-16 0.032891 0.046409 0.063927 0.088086 0.120302 0.161509 0.217891
2025-02-23 0.025250 0.038723 0.057479 0.085135 0.124435 0.177756 0.254923
2025-03-02 0.019981 0.033081 0.052543 0.083020 0.128848 0.194329 0.293833
2025-03-09 0.016729 0.029684 0.050091 0.083801 0.137074 0.216697 0.342895
2025-03-16 0.013532 0.025685 0.045940 0.081154 0.139481 0.230419 0.380308
2025-03-23 0.012142 0.024435 0.045950 0.085024 0.152378 0.261186 0.446492
2025-03-30 0.010497 0.022389 0.044227 0.085619 0.159781 0.283753 0.501601
2025-04-06 0.008805 0.019907 0.041295 0.083583 0.162275 0.298270 0.544594
2025-04-13 0.007482 0.017892 0.038886 0.082087 0.165396 0.313917 0.590605
2025-04-20 0.006954 0.017445 0.039441 0.086261 0.179283 0.349472 0.674008
2025-04-27 0.006415 0.016903 0.039777 0.090155 0.193296 0.386939 0.764865
2025-05-04 0.005383 0.015006 0.036965 0.087236 0.193699 0.399457 0.811556
2025-05-11 0.004666 0.013717 0.035267 0.086413 0.198168 0.419990 0.874905
2025-05-18 0.003956 0.012285 0.032996 0.083988 0.198982 0.433424 0.925738
2025-05-25 0.003388 0.011102 0.031109 0.082138 0.200747 0.448801 0.981516
2025-06-01 0.003042 0.010461 0.030442 0.083035 0.208597 0.477154 1.065365
2025-06-08 0.002586 0.009383 0.028470 0.080472 0.208300 0.488444 1.115227
2025-06-15 0.002451 0.009270 0.029041 0.084345 0.223337 0.533608 1.239004
2025-06-22 0.002206 0.008741 0.028381 0.084953 0.230663 0.562605 1.330677
2025-06-29 0.001904 0.007944 0.026817 0.082940 0.231375 0.576983 1.391905
2025-07-06 0.001660 0.007279 0.025521 0.081459 0.233218 0.594015 1.460174